TechDev chain in-depth analysis: counterfeit products tide or will usher in a four-year outbreak

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TechDev2025/01/06 05:52

By:TechDev

On January 4th, on-chain analyst TechDev released the latest market analysis, revealing the four-year cyclical pattern between Bitcoin, Bitcoin Dominance, and counterfeit products. The analysis indicates that the counterfeit products market may be about to experience a historic outbreak, which may be the best investment opportunity once every four years.

Key points:

Cyclicality of Bitcoin Price:

Bitcoin experiences a significant rise every 1,280-day (about four years) cycle, leading the market into a strong phase. From the chart, Bitcoin's "key K-line" usually accompanies high market sentiment and provides a foundation for the rise of counterfeit products.

Bitcoin dominance rate decreases.

In the second half of the cycle, the continued decline in Bitcoin's dominance rate suggests that market funds are gradually flowing towards counterfeit products. The historical points marked by the yellow arrows indicate that when the dominance rate falls to a low point, it often indicates that the peak performance period of the counterfeit products market is coming.

- Counterfeit products have a significant effect:

Counterfeit products usually experience explosive growth after the dominance of Bitcoin decreases in each cycle. In the current market environment, the counterfeit products market is accumulating momentum, and this trend is likely to be realized in the coming months.

TechDev's analysis points out that the current market characteristics are highly similar to historical cycles, and counterfeit products may usher in a storm-like upward trend in the future. For investors, this may be an excellent layout opportunity once every four years. However, market uncertainty still exists, and rational judgment and dynamic adjustment strategies are still key.

TechDev chain in-depth analysis: counterfeit products tide or will usher in a four-year outbreak image 0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

After dropping from $106,000 to $80,600, Bitcoin has stabilized and started to rebound, sparking discussions in the market about whether a local bottom has been reached. While whales and retail investors continue to sell, mid-sized holders are accumulating. Negative funding rates suggest a potential short squeeze. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still being iteratively improved by the Mars AI model.

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