ADA KursADA

$ADA Clean pullback after the push to $0.3846 and now price is stabilizing around $0.376 with tight candles. Short-term MAs are compressing, showing consolidation before the next move. Structure still favors bulls as long as this base holds. Buy Zone: $0.372 – $0.376 TP1: $0.382 TP2: $0.392 TP3: $0.405 Stop: $0.361 Patience here can pay, breakout energy is building quietly. Let’s go and Trade now

Amidst an evolving crypto landscape where the emphasis shifts from mere narrative-driven surges to measurable value discussions, prominent figure Mike Novogratz provided insightful evaluations on altcoins XRP and Cardano. He highlighted the inevitable challenge for these projects to demonstrate actual use and revenue generation, noting that as the market matures, altcoin valuations follow suit. His thoughts, shared during a Galaxy Digital interview supported by blockchain data, sparked a new debate about the sustainability of XRP and ADA’s current positions. Is Community Support Sufficient? Valuation Linked to Revenue and Use Is Community Support Sufficient? In a conversation with Galaxy Digital Research Director Alex Thorn, Mike Novogratz shared observations on XRP and Cardano, noting limited blockchain activity despite their loyal investor bases. The real question, according to Novogratz, is whether these communities can maintain their loyalty amid growing competition. He pointed out that blockchains with low usage intensity may struggle against emerging alternatives. Recognizing Charles Hoskinson’s achievement in building a strong Cardano community, Novogratz noted the network’s limited real usage. Similarly, he recalled criticisms of XRP’s organic activity despite its longstanding high market valuation. In his view, the crypto market increasingly demands more than mere faith and expectation for survival. Valuation Linked to Revenue and Use Novogratz suggested that, unlike Bitcoin considered as “money,” altcoins will progressively be assessed like traditional companies. Critical determinants of market value include revenue generation, user base, and tangible economic contributions. Despite RippleNet’s endeavors employing XRP for cross-border payments with banks and fintech, blockchain activity remains below expectations. Data supports this perspective. CryptoQuant’s figures indicate a modest 16,000 active addresses on the XRP network, with Cardano slightly higher at 19,000. Conversely, Solana, backed by DeFi applications and popular projects, boasts millions of active addresses. Yet, XRP maintains a market cap around $115 billion, while ADA trades in the $13–14 billion range. Novogratz highlighted Hyperliquid, a decentralized futures exchange, as an example of a project generating real income. The platform uses its earnings for HYPE coin buybacks, providing the asset with a share-like economic structure. He argued that this approach might gain importance among investors in the future.

Market analysts are watching a possible Bitcoin breakout as metals and digital assets move in tandem following a sharp reset in derivatives positioning. Summary Bitcoin rebounds as derivatives liquidations flush out shorts Silver and gold rallies reinforce long consolidation thesis Bitcoin breakout narratives build as sentiment lags price Ethereum and major altcoins: price, liquidations and sentiment Meme coins, BNB and Cardano show selective risk-taking TRON and broader sentiment signal low speculative leverage Outlook: metals highs, lighter leverage and 2026 expectations on Bitcoin breakout Bitcoin rebounds as derivatives liquidations flush out shorts Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back to $89,000 from an intra-day low of $87,400, with a late-session squeeze on Sunday night driving the move. According to CoinGlass, around $28 million in BTC positions were liquidated, with roughly $25 million in shorts and only $3 million in longs washed out. The single largest BTC liquidation came from a $3.86 million BTC/USDT position on Binance, reinforcing that short sellers, not long capitulators, fueled the rebound. However, on Stocktwits, retail sentiment around Bitcoin stayed in a ‘bearish’ zone, with chatter described as ‘low’ over the past day. Total crypto market liquidations hit $160.35 million, underscoring how a relatively modest leverage flush can still move prices quickly. Moreover, some traders now expect a new high for Bitcoin in 2026, tying that outlook to broader macro trends and falling positioning risk. Silver and gold rallies reinforce long consolidation thesis Analysts argue that the recent positioning reset is more important than Bitcoin’s short-term breakout. On X, TechDev_52 suggested BTC could be nearing the end of a long consolidation phase, setting up for a stronger directional move that may follow gold and silver’s advance. On Friday, spot gold reached $4,540 an ounce, while silver printed an intra-day high above $83 an ounce on Sunday night, its first such level since 1979, according to TradingView. Moreover, on Stocktwits, iShares Silver Trust (SLV) became the top trending ticker on Sunday night, with retail sentiment tagged as ‘extremely bullish’ and chatter rated ‘extremely high’. Echoing this enthusiasm, key opinion leader CryptoRUs noted on X that silver’s recent trading resembles its last major breakout pattern. Prices went sideways for a prolonged period until sellers exhausted and momentum rotated higher. That said, analysts caution that historical analogies can fail when liquidity conditions or macro factors change. Popular crypto commentator PlanB added that Bitcoin’s current divergence from its historical correlations with equities and gold has, in earlier cycles, preceded powerful upside bursts. However, PlanB also warned that such signals increase uncertainty rather than offering guarantees, as structural shifts in markets can delay expected outcomes. Bitcoin breakout narratives build as sentiment lags price Against this backdrop, some traders are framing the recent move as a bitcoin breakout scenario developing in slow motion. Positioning is lighter after the weekend flush, metals are at multi-decade highs, and sentiment remains cautious. However, the divergence between improving price action and still-wary retail positioning on Stocktwits suggests that many participants have yet to fully re-engage. On Stocktwits, analysts and retail traders continue to debate whether BTC’s structural consolidation is closer to silver’s historic breakout or just another mid-cycle pause. Moreover, the uneven reaction across altcoins hints that capital is rotating selectively rather than chasing broad risk. Ethereum and major altcoins: price, liquidations and sentiment Ethereum (ETH) traded near $3,000, up about 1.8% on the day. ETH led liquidation flows, with roughly $28.6 million in positions wiped out, including $23.1 million in shorts and $5.5 million in longs. This pattern supports the view that traders leaned into resistance and were forced out as prices stabilized. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward Ethereum remained in the ‘bearish’ zone. However, chatter around ETH declined from ‘normal’ to ‘low’ levels over the past day, signaling fading retail engagement even as prices firmed. Solana (SOL) outperformed most altcoins, rising about 3.6% to trade near $129. As leverage reset, Solana saw more than $10.3 million in liquidations, predominantly short-driven and aligned with momentum-based buying. On Stocktwits, SOL sentiment stayed ‘bearish’; however, chatter increased from ‘low’ to ‘normal’, hinting at a slight pickup in trader attention. Ripple’s native token XRP traded close to $1.89, gaining around 1% over 24 hours with liquidations of nearly $1.4 million. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits remained in the ‘extremely bearish’ zone, and chatter was described as ‘low’. Moreover, this combination of weak sentiment and modest price appreciation suggests a cautious stance among retail traders. Meme coins, BNB and Cardano show selective risk-taking Dogecoin (DOGE) advanced 1.9% to $0.126, holding its role as a bellwether in the meme-token segment. Around $1.36 million in DOGE positions were liquidated, mostly from short sellers, indicating that traders betting against the meme coin were squeezed as prices ticked higher. On Stocktwits, Dogecoin sentiment shifted from ‘neutral’ to ‘bullish’ over the past day, even as chatter levels remained ‘low’. However, the modest scale of liquidations and limited discussion imply that speculation in meme assets is still contained versus previous market peaks. Binance Coin (BNB) added roughly 2.8%, trading around $865. Liquidation activity in BNB stayed below $726,000, signaling that gains were primarily spot-driven rather than leverage-fueled. On Stocktwits, BNB sentiment held in the ‘neutral’ zone with ‘normal’ chatter volume, reinforcing the picture of measured risk exposure. Cardano (ADA) rose about 1.6% to $0.376, with total liquidations below $1 million. This points to gradual risk-taking instead of an aggressive breakout attempt. Moreover, ADA’s retail sentiment on Stocktwits stayed ‘bullish’ with ‘normal’ chatter, reflecting steady but not euphoric participation. TRON and broader sentiment signal low speculative leverage TRON (TRX) traded higher near $0.286 and showed minimal liquidation activity. Only about $2,361 in short positions and $11,600 in longs were cleared, highlighting extremely low speculative leverage in the token. On Stocktwits, TRX sentiment remained ‘extremely bearish’, with chatter levels classified as ‘low’. However, this combination of negative mood and low leverage can sometimes precede sharp, surprise moves when catalysts emerge and crowded positioning is absent. Outlook: metals highs, lighter leverage and 2026 expectations on Bitcoin breakout Across the crypto complex, leverage has reset without triggering a broad collapse in spot prices. Bitcoin is hovering near $89,000, silver and gold are at or near multi-decade highs, and many altcoins are grinding higher on moderate liquidations. Analysts now frame the landscape as a late-stage consolidation where structural factors, rather than intraday noise, will determine the next major leg. Moreover, with total liquidations at $160.35 million and expectations building for a potential new Bitcoin high in 2026, traders are watching whether sentiment catches up to price before the next decisive move.

$ADA is still trading below key prior support after a strong sell-off from the 0.48 region. The bounce from 0.338–0.340 is corrective and has so far failed to show strong follow-through, with price now stalling below the 0.38–0.39 resistance area. Structure remains weak overall. Each push higher is getting sold into, and volume on the bounce is lighter compared to the previous downside move. As long as price stays capped below 0.39, downside continuation remains the more reliable scalp. Only a clean reclaim and hold above 0.395–0.400 would shift the structure. Until then, rallies are better treated as sell opportunities.