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$Doge/monthly #Dogecoin is getting dumped soon 🩸

November 23rd is my birthday and I am gonna play a little prediction game (altho not recommended since I am a trader and I don't like ''predicting'' the charts): Around Nov23: 89k BTC sub 3k ETH (maybe 2.7k-2.9k) 0.11-0.12$ DOGE The market would give me one of my greatest

Bitcoin (BTC) $BTC is trading around $103,686 USD. Ethereum (ETH) $ETH is at about $3,433.96 USD. The overall crypto market cap is down ~2.6% today, reflecting broad risk‐off sentiment. Bitcoin recently fell below the $100k mark (to ~$99,936) marking a four-month low. --- 📉 Key drivers & market themes to watch 1. Macro & monetary headwinds The Federal Reserve is signalling uncertainty over further rate cuts, which strengthens the USD and reduces risk-asset appetite. Strong US dollar + higher yields = less liquidity flowing into crypto. 2. Technical / sentiment caution Many coins are in a technical “cooldown” phase after large gains. Indicators like RSI, MACD show overheating. Rising demand for put options on Bitcoin (i.e., hedging for a drop) signals traders are wary. 3. Regulatory & regional dynamics In Japan, crypto exchanges are positioning for regulatory easing which could be a future tail-wind. The industry is cautioning that regulatory product rush (ETPs, etc) should be handled carefully. 4. Altcoin / futures flows For example, Dogecoin (DOGE) $DOGE saw a spike in futures activity (~$818 m) though markets remain choppy. Many altcoins appear weaker relative to Bitcoin as capital is more cautious. --- 🎯 Trader actionable ideas Here are some setups & considerations given the current environment: Support / Resistance to monitor For Bitcoin: support near ~$100k is critical. A break convincingly below could lead to more downside. For Ethereum: key psychological threshold around ~$4k. Struggling below that may keep the pressure in place. Potential strategies Risk-managed trades: In a volatile market with macro uncertainty, consider shorter timeframes, tighter stop-losses, or reducing leverage. Hedge exposure: Given increased demand for puts on BTC, traders might hedge long spots with options or reduce position sizes. Look for turnarounds: If Fed or macro signals turn dovish (e.g., hinting at more stimulus or cuts), there could be a relief rally — good for longs. Monitor altcoins carefully: They may offer higher reward but also higher risk given Bitcoin’s dominance and current risk aversion. Watch-influencers / catalysts Fed commentary / rate decision announcements. Large liquidation events or options expiry days (can cause sharp moves). Regulatory news (especially major markets like US, EU, Japan). Bitcoin dominance shift: if BTC dominance rises, altcoins may lag further. Stablecoin flows: high stablecoin balances may indicate capital sitting on sidelines ready to deploy. --- 🔮 My base-case market view Given current conditions: The market is likely in a consolidation/correction phase, not a full collapse. Many analysts view the ~20% drop from highs as “typical dip” rather than start of long bear. My expectation: BTC may trade in a range roughly between $100k-$116k for the near term unless a strong catalyst emerges. (Based on the “scenario 2” from analysis.) If major macro easing enters, the market could attempt a rebound toward $120k+. But if macro worsens, support around $100k could be broken and lead to deeper declines.

$DOGE Alert: Death Cross Forms as ETF Inflows Cool Off 📉 Dogecoin ($DOGE) has just flashed a death cross, signaling potential bearish momentum ahead as ETF inflows slow down. With technicals weakening, some traders are eyeing a possible 20% downside move from here. Can $DOGE find support and stage a rebound, or is this the start of a deeper correction? $AIA $HYPE