Bitcoin Hits $117K as 12-Month Signal Mirrors 2017 and 2020 Peaks

• The chart shows Bitcoin following a pattern of 3 past bull cycles, each lasting nearly 12 to 16 months.
• A major signal crossed the midline, and that move historically began the largest upward price trends seen.
• With the price now over $117,000 and matching earlier setups, the chart suggests the run could last until 2026.

Bitcoin is showing early signs of entering a parabolic growth phase as key indicators align and historical cycles begin to repeat. A widely circulated chart analysis posted on July 12, 2025, reveals consistent timing patterns in previous bull market expansions, prompting renewed interest across investor communities.

Cycle Data Suggests Extended Bull Run Potential

The chart, shared by user Decode, highlights recurring time-based structures in Bitcoin’s price history using monthly data. According to the image, previous bull phases lasted approximately 427, 487, and 365 days, respectively, with significant upward price movement following similar histogram and oscillator alignments. The current cycle is now entering a similar phase based on matching momentum curves.

At the top of the chart, Bitcoin’s price progression is plotted in black, with the price currently listed at $117,537.09—up 9.56% with a daily gain of $10,352.62. Indicators such as the histogram and MACD pattern below mirror the bullish momentum seen in past expansions. A blue arrow marks potential future movement to the upside, in line with earlier cycles.

Decode’s analysis also shows a rising oscillator in blue crossing above the midline, a movement that previously coincided with multi-month price rallies. The recurring nature of these signals forms the basis for expectations that the market may be entering a similar phase again. The trend, if consistent, may extend through parts of 2026, although timing remains speculative.

Bitcoin’s Momentum Indicators Align With Historical Patterns

The histogram bars in green and red reflect momentum shifts. In prior cycles, green peaks emerged after similar consolidation phases, followed by strong price appreciation. The most recent histogram is trending positive again, consistent with this past behavior.

Under the histogram, a magenta line adds another layer of historical tracking, showing bearish troughs and bullish reversals. In each cycle, the line curved upward at the start of a new parabolic leg. The current turn in that line closely resembles the pattern formed in 2020, just before Bitcoin surged to new all-time highs.

This technical confluence has attracted considerable attention online. Decode’s tweet, which included the image, recorded over 45.6K views and nearly 1,000 likes. In comments, users discussed cycle timing and echoed predictions that 2026 may serve as the broader cycle peak. The suggestion is based on cycle length averages and pattern recognition over the last 12 years.

Decode also noted that indicators are approaching the 12-month average, a point where previous bull phases were confirmed. This positioning increases the likelihood of a sustained trend rather than a short-term spike. The possibility of 2026 marking a long-term high is being discussed based solely on data trends, not speculation.

Will This Parabolic Pattern Play Out Through 2026?

The analysis raises a central question: Can Bitcoin’s current trajectory hold long enough to mirror the full extent of earlier cycles? While past patterns show consistent time lengths and structure, the crypto market often reacts to new catalysts. Traders are now watching closely to see if market conditions will continue supporting the predicted growth phase.

Comments from Decode also confirm a data-first approach. In replies, Decode referenced averaging cycles and potential movement, concluding around May 2026. Other users responded with enthusiasm about the possibility of a prolonged rally, with some noting they would remain positioned if trends continue as projected.

The chart’s blend of technical consistency and timing accuracy has positioned it as a reference point for traders seeking confirmation of the next stage in Bitcoin’s macro trend.