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In-depth analysis of the five major systemic obstacles hindering the development of prediction markets.

This document also systematically discloses a large amount of important details such as legal pricing, token release schedule, market-making arrangements, and risk warnings.

The specific disposition of this large amount of Bitcoin will be decided early next year.

Quick Take Bitcoin fell near $103,000 on Tuesday, driven primarily by investor profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainties. Hopes for a December interest rate cut have dwindled following a report detailing growing internal conflict among Federal Reserve officials over the decision.

With institutions stepping in and volatility cooling down, bitcoin is entering a smoother and more mature cycle.

The Oracle of Omaha has written his final letter. What he and Charlie Munger have left for the crypto world is a "negative timeline" spanning a decade.

The Atlas upgrade marks the first time that L2 can directly rely on Ethereum as a real-time liquidity hub, representing not only a technical advancement but also a reshaping of the ecosystem landscape.



- 09:39Opinion: The market predicts an 82.3% probability that Lighter's FDV will exceed 2 billions USDChainCatcher news, the prediction market platform Opinion has released expectations for Lighter's FDV (final deal valuation). The market believes there is an 82.3% probability that the FDV will exceed 2 billions USD; a 51% probability it will exceed 4 billions USD; and a 27% probability it will exceed 6 billions USD. It is reported that Lighter is a perpetual contract trading protocol. According to the latest data from DefiLlama, Lighter's 24-hour trading volume has surpassed 11 billions USD, ranking first among Perp DEXs; the second and third places are Hyperliquid (9.1 billions USD) and Aster (6.6 billions USD), respectively. According to previous ChainCatcher news, Lighter announced the completion of a 68 millions USD financing round, led by Founders Fund and others.
- 09:39Data: Galaxy Digital transfers 2.9 million ASTER from custodial wallet to OTC walletAccording to ChainCatcher, monitored by The Data Nerd, about 3 hours ago, Galaxy Digital transferred approximately 2.9 million ASTER, worth about $3.31 million, from its custody address to an OTC trading wallet. The related tokens may have been accumulated by a certain whale through Galaxy Digital and have now entered the OTC holding stage.
- 09:39CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit Indicator Suggests Market May Be Near a Short-Term BottomChainCatcher news, according to CryptoQuant analysis, the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit (NUP) indicator has now dropped to 0.476, falling below the key level of 0.5. Historically, this level has often marked the formation of a short-term market bottom. The NUP indicator represents the total unrealized profit held by investors currently in a profitable position; higher values usually indicate stronger selling pressure. Analysts point out that the current indicator suggests market selling pressure has significantly eased, and investors may see a price rebound in the near future. Meanwhile, data shows that the number of Bitcoin accumulation addresses is reaching a historic high, further supporting the view of a potential rebound.