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Bitcoin and U.S. equities have come under sharp pressure, but the real culprit may not be the usual suspects like Jackson Hole speeches or central bank rhetoric. Instead, the markets are reacting to a significant $400 billion liquidity drain tied to the U.S. Treasury’s General Account (TGA). This development is quietly pulling money out of the system, tightening conditions across risk assets. 🔻Why Liquidity Is the Issue When the Treasury rebuilds its cash reserves, it does so by issuing large amounts of Treasury bills. That process effectively sucks liquidity out of the broader market, reducing available cash for stocks, bonds, and crypto. The impact is visible: Bitcoin has retreated from recent highs above $124,000 to near $113,500, while Ethereum and other altcoins have faced similar declines. On Wall Street, the Nasdaq also slid, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment. 🔻Beyond Jackson Hole While investors often look to central bank gatherings for direction, the liquidity squeeze is proving more immediate and impactful. This is less about policy signals and more about mechanics of funding—as cash shifts into government accounts, less remains circulating in the market. Historically, such drains have created temporary headwinds for risk assets. 🔻What’s Next The key will be how long this liquidity drain lasts and whether the market can stabilize once the Treasury’s cash rebuild levels off. If reserves drop too far, short-term funding stress could emerge, adding another layer of volatility. Still, once the adjustment passes, markets could regain footing, especially if broader macro conditions remain supportive. In short, it’s not Powell’s words but the Treasury’s actions that are steering risk assets right now. $BTC

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