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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has delivered a major shock to the markets with its annual revision of non-farm payroll data. For the 12 months ending March 2025, the job count was revised downward by 910,000 — the largest annual downward revision ever recorded, far worse than market expectations of 700,000–800,000. This drastic adjustment signals that the U.S. labor market has been weaker than previously thought, which has significant implications for monetary policy and risk assets. 🎓📉 Why This Matters for Markets: 1. Weak Labor = Pressure on the Fed A softer job market reduces the Federal Reserve’s room to maintain high interest rates. Market participants are now pricing in a higher probability of a September rate cut. 2. Tight Link with Inflation Data This payroll revision comes just before two crucial inflation reports: Sept 10: U.S. PPI (Producer Price Index) Sept 11: U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) Together, these data points will set the tone for Fed policy in Q4 2025. 3. Crypto Market Sensitivity Historically, rate cut expectations support risk assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. With liquidity potentially easing, crypto could see renewed bullish momentum if inflation shows signs of cooling. 🎓📊 Current Market Snapshot: BTC: +0.52% (~$112,800) ETH: +0.11% (~$4,340) Total Market Cap: ~$4T 24H Volume: ~$150B Despite macro uncertainty, crypto markets remain resilient, reflecting growing investor belief that digital assets could benefit from a weaker U.S. economy and a more accommodative Fed. 🎓📈 Possible Scenarios Bullish Case: Payroll weakness + soft PPI & CPI → Rate cuts likely. BTC may attempt to reclaim $115K, ETH could push above $4.5K. Bearish Case: Payroll weakness + hotter-than-expected inflation → Fed may delay cuts. Short-term volatility and potential downside pressure on crypto. 🎓✅ Takeaway for Traders The combination of a record job revision and upcoming inflation data makes this one of the most important weeks of 2025 for global markets. For crypto traders, this environment means one thing: volatility = opportunity. 👉 Keep a close watch on: $BTC support at $110K / resistance at $115K $ETH support at $4.2K / resistance at $4.5K If inflation cooperates, the weak labor data could mark the start of a Fed pivot — a catalyst that crypto markets have historically thrived on. 🎓📌 #Bitget #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Ethereum #NonFarmPayrolls #Inflation #PPI #CPI #Fed #TradingInsights #WeeklyHighlights $ARIA $MYX $SOL $SWTCH $CAMP $TRADOOR $DOGS $JUP

🎓🔎 Insights on the US August PPI Release and Its Impact on Crypto & Global Markets The US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for August 2025 is set to be released at 7:30 AM EDT on September 10th. This release is particularly significant because the PPI is a leading indicator of inflation, often influencing expectations for the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Reserve policy, and ultimately, risk assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the broader crypto market. 🎓🌍 Why the PPI Matters Indicator of Inflationary Pressures: The PPI measures price changes at the wholesale level before they reach consumers. A higher-than-expected PPI suggests that inflationary pressures are building, while a lower figure points to easing cost pressures. Fed Policy Sensitivity: With the Federal Reserve closely monitoring inflation data, the PPI report could shape market expectations on whether the Fed will maintain, cut, or even consider raising interest rates. Spillover to Risk Assets: Equities, bonds, and crypto markets all respond quickly to inflation signals, given their direct correlation to liquidity conditions. 🎓📊 Market Expectations Going into the Release According to analysts: July’s PPI exceeded expectations, sparking concerns about sticky inflation. Emilie Herbo, analyst at Danske Bank, noted that this release is “attracting much attention” because it precedes the CPI release and can provide early signals on tariff-related costs and supply chain pressures. Treasury yields have already shown small movements in Asian sessions, reflecting caution ahead of the data. 🎓🪙 Crypto Market Context (10 Sept 2025) BTC: ~$112,388 (▼0.5%) ETH: ~$4,324 (▼0.9%) Total Market Cap: ~$3.99T, Volume: ~$147B Both BTC and ETH are trading slightly lower, reflecting caution ahead of the inflation print. The modest decline suggests traders are hedging risk but not aggressively selling off. 🎓📈 Possible Outcomes & Scenarios 1. PPI Higher than Expected Inflation concerns resurface. Fed may lean against near-term rate cuts. Crypto could face short-term downward pressure as liquidity expectations weaken. BTC & ETH could retest near-term support levels. 2. PPI Lower than Expected Markets may interpret this as inflation cooling. Strengthens the case for Fed easing later in 2025. Positive sentiment for risk-on assets like crypto, stocks, and tech. BTC may bounce above $115K, ETH toward $4.5K in short-term rallies. 3. In-Line with Expectations Market volatility could still be high, but direction will depend on Thursday’s CPI release. Crypto likely trades in a narrow consolidation range until CPI confirms or rejects inflation trends. 🎓🌐 Broader Considerations US Labor Data: The recent revision of non-farm payroll data added to uncertainty. Weak labor plus hot inflation could complicate the Fed’s path. Dollar Index (DXY): A stronger dollar tends to pressure Bitcoin, while a weaker one provides relief. Watch how the DXY reacts post-PPI. Global Macro Factors: China’s slowing demand and trade data could influence global inflation dynamics. Energy prices (especially oil) are creeping higher, which could feed into wholesale prices. 🎓📝 Takeaway The August PPI release is not just a data point — it’s a market catalyst. For crypto traders, it serves as a key signal for liquidity conditions in the coming months. If inflation runs hot, the Fed could stay cautious, tightening financial conditions and putting short-term pressure on digital assets. On the flip side, a softer print could renew bullish momentum across BTC, ETH, and altcoins, especially given the strong underlying demand for crypto in 2025. Key Watch Levels: $BTC BTC: $110K support, $115K resistance $ETH ETH: $4.2K support, $4.5K resistance 🎓✅ #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Ethereum #PPI #Inflation #CryptoInsights #MacroEconomics #Bitget #USMarket #Trading $CAMP $MYX $SOL $STRK

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