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RT @cozymaximalist: If you lost money on Iranian nuclear facilities, you may be entitled to compensation. Start your claim now. Burwick La…

What if Bitcoin hasn’t reached its peak yet ? While markets digest their recent fluctuations, a projection based on historical signals puts the bullish cycle into perspective. According to a technical analysis supported by the AVIV ratio, a little-known behavioral indicator, Bitcoin could reach up to $330,000. Analyst Gert van Lagen links this hypothesis to sustained accumulation dynamics, indicating that the current bull run may be far from over. While whales accumulate and small holders flee out of fear , market technician Gert van Lagen recently highlighted on X a metric called the AVIV Ratio (Active Value to Invested Value), which measures the ratio between Bitcoin’s active capitalization, i.e., funds in motion, and its actual invested capitalization, excluding mining rewards. #BTC – A 3x move from here would be ordinary. Every cycle top coincided with the AVIV Ratio (orange) crossing the red line, its +3σ deviation. Today’s AVIV level is comparable to: → $200 before $1.2k (2013) → $3.7k before $20k (2017) → $13k before $69k (2021) pic.twitter.com/xqlG1ebWej According to him, this indicator, when it exceeds its threshold of +3 standard deviations (σ) above its historical average, systematically marks a cycle peak. He points out that this was the case during previous peaks : “BTC was worth $1,200 in 2013, nearly $20,000 in 2017, and about $69,000 in 2021”. However, to date, the AVIV Ratio has not yet crossed this threshold, leading him to estimate that “the price could climb to at least $330,000 in this cycle before a top is reached”. Van Lagen’s model draws attention for its ability to capture the imbalance between speculative activity and long-term investments. It is based on well-defined historical precedents. Here are the key points to remember : This ratio, although still little known in mainstream circles, establishes itself as an interesting alternative tool to monitor the ongoing bullish cycle, complementing more traditional indicators. Alongside technical signals, another phenomenon is attracting analysts’ attention : the decline in Bitcoin balances on OTC desks (over-the-counter), often used by institutional investors to buy or sell large volumes. According to CryptoQuant data , these balances have dropped from 166,500 BTC to 137,400 BTC this year, a decrease of over 29,000 BTC in a few months. This marked decline is interpreted as a strategic accumulation move. Moreover, this decline is mainly due to “Strategy’s aggressive buying” as well as the notable entry of Metaplanet, which acquired 10,000 BTC. Added to this are strong inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, whose cumulative net value now amounts to $128.18 billion, and BlackRock’s BTC holdings, estimated at more than $70 billion. Alongside this silent accumulation, a second predictive model developed by Bitcoin researcher Sminston With strengthens the hypothesis of a high cycle peak. Based on a 365-day simple moving average integrated into a power law model, it projects a price between $220,000 and $330,000 for this cycle. But yes, I'm sure this cycle has peaked. 🙄 – – – Bitcoin cycles @ power law fit, a la 365-day SMA At ~$110,000/coin today, the 365-dSMA is only touching the trendline; history shows each cycle moving 2-3x higher than this. Have a nice day! pic.twitter.com/jH51joDEIl His analysis, statistically supported by a coefficient of determination R²=0.96, challenges the idea that Bitcoin’s volatility diminishes over the years. According to him, “ bitcoin price cycles continue to show significant deviations from the trend, invalidating the idea of a progressively stabilizing market”. These signals, although optimistic, must be approached with caution. Neither the decline in OTC balances nor the statistical models can guarantee a linear upward trajectory. However, they outline a still dynamic market potentially far from its peak, especially in a context of sustained institutional accumulation, as evidenced by BlackRock’s control of 3 % of the supply . The combination of indicators still far from saturation and a change in behavior among major investors could, if sustained, pave the way to price levels never seen before. The market remains volatile, models remain imperfect, but signals converge: the final phase of this bull run could be more spectacular.

RT @knafo_sarah: ⚡️🚀 Invitée pour la première fois à la conférence internationale sur Bitcoin, #BTCPrague. Prague, une ville entière trans…

RT @Hope_web3_: 밋업메타를 연 라그랑주에 의리로 놀러왔습니다 지난 밋업 굿즈도 입고왔다! $LA @lagrangedev

Bitget becomes the first crypto sponsor of MotoGP Bitget announced a multi-million dollar sponsorship with the World Motorcycle Championship (MotoGP), officially becoming its official regional partner. This is also the first cooperation between MotoGP and a crypto company. As the highest-level motorcycle road race under the International Motorcycle Racing Association (FIM), MotoGP is also known as the F1 of motorcycle races, and is renowned worldwide for its extreme speed and competitive spirit. During the three-year cooperation, Bitget will appear as a partner in many Grand Prix in Italy, Germany, Spain and Indonesia in 2025. The cooperation between the two parties combines the extreme speed of racing with the quick decision-making of crypto transactions, further enriching Bitget's layout in the global sports marketing map. Three-time MotoGP world champion Jorge Lorenzo will also appear as Bitget's brand ambassador to interpret the brand spirit of "Make It Count". Jorge Lorenzo said: "Whether it is racing or trading, it is essentially a test of decision-making speed and execution. Only by maintaining extreme concentration and quick decision-making ability can we seize the winning opportunity in a rapidly changing environment." MotoGP CCO Dan Rossomondo said: "Precision, innovation and quick decision-making are the concepts that MotoGP has long adhered to, which is highly consistent with Bitget's development concept in the encryption field." This cooperation continues Bitget's brand layout in the sports field. Following the establishment of partnerships with Messi, Juventus and La Liga, Bitget once again established connections with a wider range of mainstream users through top international events, and continued to enhance its global brand influence. As of now, Bitget has more than 120 million users worldwide, and the platform's average daily trading volume has reached 20 billion US dollars.