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Analysis: Bitcoin’s current trend lacks breakthrough continuity, and the pullback may not be over yet Affected by the situation between Israel and Iran, Bitcoin once dropped to $102,600, then quickly rebounded to about $106,000, but then fell back to $105,200, still 6% below its historical high. The CoinDesk 20 Index fell 4.4% during the same period, with ETH, AVAX and TON falling 6%-8%. Despite the general decline in overall crypto stocks, Circle (CIRCL) rose 13% against the trend due to the continued momentum after its IPO and news that Amazon and Walmart were deploying stablecoins. Analysts generally believe that Bitcoin's current trend lacks breakthrough continuity. Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, pointed out that falling below $106,000 is a signal of "failed breakthrough", with short-term support at $100,000 to $101,000. If it falls, it may return to the consolidation zone. Ledn investment officer John Glover predicts that the callback range may drop to $88,000-93,000, and believes that around $90,000 will be a good entry point in the medium and long term, and it is expected to challenge the target of $130,000 in the future. (CoinDesk)

🔍 Market Reaction to Israel–Iran Tensions Bitcoin & Major Cryptos Sell Off Bitcoin dropped to a low of $103,274, recovering to about $105,000, ultimately down ~2–3% as markets responded to Israel’s strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities . Ethereum sank ~7–9%, XRP declined ~4–5%, and Solana plunged ~8–9%—altcoins experienced even steeper losses . Capital Flight from Risk Assets Investor sentiment turned risk-off: $1B+ in crypto liquidations swept across the market, hitting BTC ($300M), and SOL (~$50M) . Total crypto market capitalization fell from ~$3.47T to ~$3.22–3.26T in just two days . Push to Traditional Safe-Havens Gold rose 1.1–1.8%, the US dollar, yen, and franc strengthened, while oil spiked ~7–9% . Analysts noted Bitcoin’s drop during this period casts doubt on its “digital gold” label . 📈 Technical Insights Some market observers view this dip as a bullish “fractal” setup, similar to October 2024’s pullback–rebound. BTC found support around $102.8K and bounced off its 50-day moving average—a potential setup for a new rally . 🧭 Takeaway for Crypto Investors 1. Geopolitical spikes often trigger swift risk-off reactions in crypto. 2. Safe-haven flows favored gold and fiat, not digital assets—BTC is still behaving like a risky asset. 3. However, technical bounce patterns could signal buying opportunities as volatility subsides. 4. Strategy: Monitor conflict news for spillover into market sentiment. Use dips for re-entry, but maintain discipline via stop-losses and position sizing.

U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday as escalating military conflict between Israel and Iran sent oil prices soaring and investors retreating from risk assets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.79%, while the S&P 500 closed down 1.13% and the Nasdaq lost 1.30%. Israel launched strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile facilities late Thursday evening, prompting retaliatory missile launches from Iran during the final hours of Friday’s U.S. trading session. Oil and defense stocks climbed. Brent crude jumped more than 7%, briefly surging 14% during Asia trading hours, while WTI crude approached $74 a barrel. ExxonMobil rose around 2%, and defense firms Lockheed Martin and RTX gained about 3% each. Gold rose 1.4% to $3,432 an ounce, nearing its April record. The sell-off ended what was shaping up to be a positive week for equities. Global markets followed suit. European and Asian equities posted losses of more than 1%. U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year note climbing 7.9 basis points to 4.436%, reversing earlier declines on safe-haven demand. The dollar also rebounded, gaining 0.5%. President Trump urged Iran to return to nuclear talks and warned of further consequences, citing a missed 60-day deadline. Meanwhile, Iran canceled planned negotiations with the U.S. Economically, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index rose sharply to 60.5 in June, topping forecasts and suggesting resilient consumer outlooks despite geopolitical uncertainty. Investors now face renewed inflation risks from rising oil prices and uncertainty around future Federal Reserve actions.

🎤📈 Lady Gaga Concert Lifts Brazil’s Services Sector Brazil’s services activity rose 0.2% in April, aided by early demand tied to Gaga’s 2.1M-attendee Rio show. Transport led gains as concert-related bookings offset pressure from high interest rates.

President Donald Trump, speaking from the White House on Friday, said Iran was struck by Israel because it failed to accept the terms of a nuclear deal he personally offered them two months ago. “Two months ago I gave Iran a 60-day ultimatum to ‘make a deal.’ They should have done it! Today is day 61,” Trump wrote on Truth, adding, “Now they have, perhaps, a second chance!” His comments came just hours after Israeli forces launched a wave of airstrikes against Iranian targets, an operation Trump said he was briefed on before it began. In a separate post , Trump claimed Iran was warned over and over again. “I gave Iran chance after chance to make a deal,” he wrote. “I told them, in the strongest of words, to ‘just do it,’ but no matter how hard they tried, no matter how close they got, they just couldn’t get it done.” He then added, “Certain Iranian hardliners spoke bravely, but they didn’t know what was about to happen. They are all DEAD now, and it will only get worse!” Although the US military did not take part in the airstrikes, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in a statement that Washington had been informed about the plans and clarified that “we are not involved in strikes against Iran and our top priority is protecting American forces in the region.” Negotiations had been ongoing between the US and Iran in recent weeks, but the administration under Trump reportedly pushed for a direct deal rather than military escalation. In response to the strikes, Iran launched nearly 100 drones at Israeli targets on Friday morning. An Israeli military spokesperson confirmed the wave of drones and said the country’s defense systems were intercepting them in real time. Following the attack, a state of emergency was declared in Israel as officials prepared for more incoming threats. The situation has added even more tension to a region already worn out by the war in Gaza and clashes across the Middle East. Trump , in a second post, emphasized the potential for more destruction. “There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to make this slaughter, with the next already planned attacks being even more brutal, come to an end,” he warned. “Iran must make a deal, before there is nothing left, and save what was once known as the Iranian Empire. No more death, no more destruction, JUST DO IT, BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE. God Bless You All!” Oil traders reacted immediately. The US West Texas Intermediate July contract surged 8.48% to $73.81 per barrel by 8:40 a.m. ET. Brent crude for August delivery rose 7.86% to $74.81. At the same time, gold prices also rose as traders scrambled for safer places to put their money. Spot prices of gold climbed 1.3% to $3,426.31, while gold futures for August jumped to $3,445.40. US Treasury bond prices moved higher in the morning, pulling yields lower across the 30-year, 10-year, and 2-year notes. The dollar, which had been slumping near a three-year low, bounced back sharply as the panic set in. The dollar index rose 0.5%, trading around 98.41. It also gained against typical safe havens like the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, rising 0.33% and 0.5% respectively. These gains show that the dollar is still king when fear kicks in, even in the face of other strong global currencies like the Swedish krona, the Swiss franc, and the Russian ruble, which are all outperforming it right now, according to data from CNBC. The mood in Europe is grim right now. The pan-European Stoxx 600 was down 0.9% halfway through the session. Travel and leisure companies took the hardest hits, falling 2.6%. Germany’s DAX lost 1.5%, the most out of any major European index. Individual stocks were slammed. IAG, the parent of British Airways, dropped 4.8%. Carnival, the cruise operator, lost 4.2%, while Auto1 Group, the online car sales company, fell 6%. These losses show just how quickly the market pulls out of anything tied to travel when war is on the table. At the same time, oil shipping companies surged. Frontline, the tanker giant, was up 8.2%, leading the Stoxx 600 as investors bet on higher oil demand and tighter supply routes if the war expands. KEY Difference Wire helps crypto brands break through and dominate headlines fast