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📊 Altcoin Season Index from CoinGlass rose from 67 to 78 points Key indicators of the altcoin market have approached the peak values ​​of the end of last year. The Alt Season Index from Blockchain Center shows a similar value. According to its criteria, to confirm the trend, 75% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market value must show a higher return than Bitcoin within 90 days. The last time the metrics reached such values ​​was in December 2024. Then, at the peak, the indicator was 88 points. The capitalization of the altcoin sector exceeded $ 1.8 trillion, which significantly increased the ratio of $ETH and $BTC . There are 5.2% left before updating the historical maximum in total market value. In general, the situation on the market is favorable, altcoins are gradually growing, many coins have already shown impressive results, some are just starting to gain momentum

Switchboard Protocol ( $SWTCH ) rose 23.08% over the last 24h, sharply diverging from its -19.55% 7-day and 30-day trends. This surge coincides with a 125.38% spike in trading volume and aligns with altcoin momentum (Altcoin Season Index +65% monthly). Here are the main factors: Bitget Launchpool incentives – 5.5M SWTCH rewards drove short-term demand. Token launch dynamics – Initial circulating supply release (Sep 9) amid vesting locks. High-risk speculation – Elevated volatility linked to concentrated ownership and mint risks. 1. Exchange Incentives & Demand (Bullish Impact) Overview: SWTCH’s listing on Bitget Launchpool (Sep 9–11) offered 5.5M tokens as staking rewards, attracting users to lock BGB or SWTCH for high APRs. Historical APR peaks (e.g., 1534%) likely fueled participation. What this means: Launchpool events often create artificial scarcity and speculative buying, especially for new tokens. The 24h volume surge ($31.67M) suggests coordinated accumulation, though rewards ended days ago – delayed price action could reflect post-event trading or delayed token distribution. What to watch: SWTCH’s circulating supply (currently 17.16% of total) and unlock schedules, as team tokens (100% initially held) face a 6-month cliff until March 2026. 2. Token Launch Volatility (Mixed Impact) Overview: SWTCH’s token went live on Sep 9 with 24 trading pairs, including Raydium (USDC/SWTCH). Initial price swings (+26.86% on launch day) reflect typical new-token speculation, amplified by low liquidity and mint-enabled contracts. What this means: While the protocol’s $5B TVL and multi-chain oracle use case (e.g., Solana, Ethereum) support long-term utility, Ghanem Lab’s risk report highlights critical concerns: 100% team ownership and 78% supply held by one wallet, raising manipulation risks. Enabled minting could further dilute holders if abused. 3. Altcoin Momentum & Sentiment (Bullish Impact) Overview: SWTCH’s rally aligns with broader altcoin strength (Altcoin Season Index +65% monthly) and neutral crypto sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 51). What this means: Traders may be rotating into low-cap, high-volatility assets like SWTCH amid muted BTC/ETH action (BTC dominance -1.7% weekly). However, SWTCH’s 1.39 turnover ratio signals thin liquidity – gains could reverse swiftly if sentiment sours. Conclusion SWTCH’s rally combines exchange-driven demand, new-token speculation, and altcoin tailwinds, but extreme supply concentration and mint risks warrant caution. Key watch: Can trading volume sustain above $20M to support current levels, or will profit-taking trigger a pullback?

Avantis ( $AVNT ) rose 36.75% over the last 24h, extending its 7-day surge to 249.76%. This aligns with bullish momentum driven by exchange listings, airdrop incentives, and protocol growth. Key drivers: listing (Sep 9–10) – Enhanced accessibility and credibility. Airdrop campaigns – $110k+ incentives across boosted trading activity. RWA narrative + Base ecosystem growth – AVNT positioned as leading perpetuals DEX. Airdrop-Driven Speculation (Mixed Impact) What this means: While airdrops drive short-term volume, they risk sell pressure if recipients dump tokens. AVNT’s 3.16 turnover ratio (volume/market cap) suggests high liquidity, potentially cushioning volatility. RWA Narrative & Protocol Metrics (Bullish Impact) Overview: AVNT’s cumulative trading volume hit $18B, with $23M TVL and 80+ markets, including 22 RWA assets. Its June 2025 $8M Series A (Pantera/Founders Fund) strengthened credibility. What this means: As the largest perpetuals DEX on Base, AVNT benefits from Ethereum’s L2 adoption and RWA sector growth. The 30-day annualized revenue of $15M+ signals sustainable fee generation. Conclusion AVNT’s rally reflects a mix of strategic exchange listings, airdrop-fueled trading, and fundamentals as a high-growth derivatives protocol. However, the 249% weekly gain raises overextension risks if hype cools. Key watch: Can AVNT hold above its pivot point ($0.815) if broader crypto sentiment shifts? lets see

QCP: Crypto rebounded after last week’s CPI concerns, led by five straight days of BTC gains and strong ETH inflows. XRP and SOL also rose on SEC delays. CMC’s Altcoin Season Index at 72 and total market cap at $1.73T, both 90-day highs. BTC looks stable above $107k, but sticky