What To Expect From Hedera (HBAR) In June 2025

Hedera (HBAR) is down 10.5% over the last seven days, as technical and derivative indicators point to growing weakness. Futures volume has fallen below $100 million for five straight days, signaling a sharp decline in speculative interest compared to March’s $1.3 billion peak.

Despite historically tracking Bitcoin’s moves closely, HBAR has underperformed during BTC’s recent rally, gaining just 0.75% in the past 30 days. With EMA lines still bearish and price nearing critical support at $0.18, HBAR faces a key test that could define its direction heading into June.

HBAR Futures Volume Falls Below $100 Million – What Does it Mean?

HBAR futures volume has dropped to $96.5 million and has remained under the $100 million mark for the past five consecutive days, marking a sharp contrast to the elevated levels seen earlier this year.

Back on March 1, futures volume peaked at $1.3 billion, but since then, both volume and open interest have steadily declined.

HBAR futures allow traders to speculate on the token’s future price, and their activity often reflects broader sentiment and risk appetite from both retail and institutional participants.

HBAR: Futures Volume. Source: Glassnode.

The recent drop points to waning speculative interest, potentially signaling caution or lack of conviction in Hedera’s short-term price direction.

With the 7-day EMA of HBAR futures volume now at its lowest in three months, the data suggests current price action may be increasingly driven by spot demand rather than leveraged positioning.

This shift in market structure could mean reduced volatility and a more organic price trend in the near term. However, without a rebound in derivatives activity, any upward moves may lack the momentum typically provided by aggressive speculative inflows.

Hedera Lags Behind BTC Rally—Will It Catch Up in June?

Historically, HBAR price has shown a strong positive correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), often amplifying the broader market’s moves.

However, over the past 30 days, that relationship appears to have weakened—BTC is up 14.3%, while HBAR has gained just 0.75% over the same period.

BTC and HBAR Performance in the last 30 Days. Source: Messari.

This divergence suggests that HBAR has not yet responded to the recent bullish momentum in the crypto market, despite typically being a higher-beta asset.

In previous cycles, HBAR has often outperformed BTC during rallies but also faced steeper declines during broader market corrections, reflecting its sensitivity to shifts in sentiment.

If Bitcoin reaches new highs in June, HBAR could be well-positioned for a sharper move upward, as it did during past surges.

HBAR Approaches $0.18 Support as Bearish EMA Setup Persists

HBAR’s EMA structure remains bearish, with short-term exponential moving averages still positioned below long-term ones—a classic sign of ongoing downward momentum.

The token has been trading below the $0.20 mark for the past six days, reflecting sustained pressure and a lack of bullish follow-through.

HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

This setup reinforces the cautious sentiment surrounding HBAR as it hovers near key technical levels.

Currently, HBAR is approaching the critical support at $0.18, and losing this level would mark its first break below that threshold since May 8.

However, if the market turns and momentum improves in June, HBAR could break back above $0.20, with room to rally toward $0.25—an area it hasn’t touched since early March.