Peter Brandt’s Bitcoin Crash Prediction Sparks Debate

Peter Brandt, a renowned trader, recently speculated on X that Bitcoin might face a 75% drop, echoing its 2022 downturn. This prediction has stirred discussions and skepticism within the crypto community and analysts.

Brandt’s speculation highlights potential market volatility for Bitcoin, yet analysts note current institutional involvement disrupts past trends. This industry shift may buffer against severe downturns.

Analyzing Brandt’s Prediction

In June 2025, veteran trader Peter Brandt posted on X , questioning if Bitcoin could follow its 2022 pattern and drop by 75%. Analysts, including Pav Hundal, have dismissed this as “very unlikely” given current market conditions. Notably, Brandt’s post asked:

“Is Bitcoin following its 2022 script and preparing for a 75% drop? It doesn’t hurt to ask, does it?”

Prominent crypto figures argue that today’s market, dominated by institutional players, differs from past retail-driven periods. Despite Brandt’s alarming forecast, analysts report no large-scale liquidations or market disruptions threatening Bitcoin’s price stability. They cite the role of institutional FOMO and a changed macroeconomic regime as buffers.

Historical data reveals a 76% Bitcoin price plunge from 2021 to 2022, which Brandt references. However, current market structures indicate a different landscape. Bitcoin’s future may see shifts in investor dynamics. Analysts predict institutional influence will foster stability, reducing volatility seen in previous cycles. Additionally, commentary by Death Cab To QE emphasizes that previous Bitcoin cycles were largely retail-driven, while the current scene is dominated by institutional players.