ETH/BTC Nears Key Level: Could Ethereum Outpace Bitcoin Again?
Ethereum’s ETH/BTC ratio is at a turning point, with a bullish setup forming and Bitcoin Dominance slipping. Analysts are divided on whether this signals a breakout or a cautionary pullback.
Ethereum is gaining attention as its price rebounds above the $3,700 mark, while Bitcoin (BTC) remains stuck around $114,000.
The ETH/BTC exchange rate is now entering a critical phase. If it can break above the current resistance zone amid the weakening trend of Bitcoin Dominance, ETH may pave the way for a new growth cycle.
ETH/BTC Up
The ETH/BTC ratio currently stands at 0.03059. It has fluctuated around its bottom range for nearly a year and is now nearing a key technical resistance level. Every time ETH/BTC hits such lows, it bounces back—a cyclical phenomenon.
An analysis on X also pointed out that this trading pair is approaching resistance at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This is a point technical traders often interpret as a potential signal for a trend reversal.
In response, another analyst noted that the current market structure of ETH/BTC is very “bullish.”
However, for ETH to break out of its sideways trend, another crucial indicator must be closely monitored: Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). According to MerlijnTrader, BTC.D has started to show signs of weakening, and liquidity is gradually shifting toward altcoins—including ETH.
“Once we see $BTC.D drop and $ETHBTC rise, the real altseason will start,” an analyst on X observed.
That said, the current 62% zone for BTC.D is a sensitive threshold. Analyst Daan cautioned that if BTC.D breaks above this level, the market could swing back in favor of Bitcoin. In that case, ETH might continue to underperform in comparison.
Bitcoin Dominance Chart. Source:
Daan on X
Optimistic Forecasts But Caution
In the current context, veteran analyst Thomas Lee suggested that ETH could reach $16,000—provided that ETH/BTC returns to its 2021 peak (~0.08837). However, this appears to be a long-term price projection.
From another perspective, BitMine BMNR argued that if ETH/BTC maintains the same ratio as in August 2024 (~0.050), then ETH could potentially reach around $5,700 based on BTC’s current price.
“ETH is a far better risk/reward today,” BitMine BMNR remarked.
While many forecasts remain optimistic for ETH, the market appears relatively subdued. According to Polymarket, the probability of ETH setting a new all-time high (ATH) before 2026 is 54%.
At present, ETH is trading around the $3,700 zone. To surpass its ATH from November 2021, ETH would need to grow by approximately 25%.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Cobie: Long-term trading
Crypto Twitter doesn't want to hear "get rich in ten years" stories. But that might actually be the only truly viable way.
The central bank sets a major tone on stablecoins for the first time—where will the market go from here?
This statement will not directly affect the Hong Kong stablecoin market, but it will have an indirect impact, as mainland institutions will enter the Hong Kong stablecoin market more cautiously and low-key.
Charlie Munger's Final Years: Bold Investments at 99, Supporting Young Neighbors to Build a Real Estate Empire
A few days before his death, Munger asked his family to leave the hospital room so he could make one last call to Buffett. The two legendary partners then bid their final farewell.
Stacks Nakamoto Upgrade
STX has never missed out on market speculation surrounding the BTC ecosystem, but previous hype was more like "castles in the air" without a solid foundation. After the Nakamoto upgrade, Stacks will provide the market with higher expectations through improved performance and sBTC.
Trending news
MoreCrypto prices
More
