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Ethereum May Be Mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018–2021 Fractal as BlackRock ETF Buying Signals Possible Parabolic Rally

Ethereum May Be Mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018–2021 Fractal as BlackRock ETF Buying Signals Possible Parabolic Rally

CoinotagCoinotag2025/08/27 16:00
By:Sheila Belson
  • Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin’s crash‑recovery‑coil pattern, indicating a potential pre‑parabolic setup.

  • BlackRock spot Ethereum ETFs added ~211,880 ETH this week, supporting liquidity and accumulation.

  • Technical projections put a scenario range near $15,000–$18,000 if a Bitcoin‑style 1110% expansion repeats.

Ethereum liftoff zone: Ethereum traces Bitcoin fractal with strong ETF buying; read a concise analysis of targets, ETF inflows, and what investors should watch next.

Ethereum traces Bitcoin’s 2018–2021 fractal with strong ETF buying, positioning itself for a potential parabolic rally soon.

  • Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin’s crash, recovery, and consolidation, forming a coil similar to Bitcoin’s pre-parabolic rally pattern from 2018–2021.
  • Current charts place Ethereum in the liftoff zone, projecting a potential 1110% surge to an estimated $15,000–$18,000 range.
  • BlackRock’s spot Ethereum ETFs purchased over 211,000 ETH this week, supporting liquidity and accumulation during Ethereum’s critical market phase.

Ethereum appears to be following the same major market stages Bitcoin exhibited: a deep crash, a multi‑hundred percent recovery, and a consolidation coil that preceded a parabolic upswing. This alignment is visible across price percentages and market structure, and is reinforced by notable institutional purchases.

What is the Ethereum liftoff zone and why does it matter?

The Ethereum liftoff zone describes a consolidation coil after recovery where technical patterns and institutional accumulation together increase the probability of a rapid price expansion. This zone matters because historical Bitcoin cycles show similar formations preceded large percentage rallies.

How closely does Ethereum match Bitcoin’s 2018–2021 fractal?

Chart comparisons show a sequence of moves that align in magnitude and timing: an ~83% drawdown from a prior peak, a ~342% mid‑cycle recovery, and a ~63% capitulation before a coil. Ethereum’s 2021–2025 sequence shows analogous percentages and a comparable consolidation structure.

Cycle comparison: Bitcoin (2018–2021) vs Ethereum (2021–2025) Stage Bitcoin (2018–2021) Ethereum (2021–2025)
Major drawdown ~83% ~83%
Mid‑cycle recovery ~342% ~342%
Capitulation drop ~63% ~63%
Projected parabolic gain ~1110% Scenario: up to ~1110% (target range $15k–$18k)

What institutional signals support this setup?

Institutional flows are visible via spot ETF accumulation. Plain text reporting indicates BlackRock’s spot Ethereum ETFs added approximately 15,010 ETH on August 28, bringing the weekly total to about 211,880 ETH, roughly valued near $968.2 million at the time of the report. That level of buying increases liquidity pressure during consolidation.

Who first outlined the fractal comparison?

Trader and analyst Merlijn The Trader publicly noted the ETH→BTC fractal alignment in a social post dated August 28, 2025, highlighting the similar crash, recovery, and coil phases and projecting +1110% as a possible outcome if the pattern repeats.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can Ethereum really reach $15,000–$18,000 based on a fractal?

Fractal analysis suggests a path, but such a target depends on pattern completion, macro liquidity, and institutional demand. The projection is scenario‑based and should be treated as conditional on continued accumulation and market structure confirmation.

How does ETF buying affect ETH price?

ETF accumulation reduces available market liquidity and signals institutional demand. Large, concentrated buys can tighten supply and amplify price moves during a breakout from consolidation.

Key Takeaways

  • Fractal alignment: Ethereum’s current structure closely mirrors Bitcoin’s 2018–2021 stages, suggesting a comparable market sequence.
  • Institutional support: Significant spot ETF purchases, including large weekly inflows, add liquidity pressure that favors accumulation.
  • Conditional projection: A scenario target range of $15,000–$18,000 (≈+1110%) is possible if the fractal completes and institutional buying persists.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s chart pattern and rising institutional ETF accumulation together create a plausible case for a major bullish outcome if the liftoff zone resolves upward. Monitor percentages, coil breakout confirmation, and ongoing ETF flows as primary signals. COINOTAG will update coverage as on‑chain and institutional data evolve.

Source notes

Analysis references plain text reporting and public commentary by market participants, including a social post by Merlijn The Trader (August 28, 2025) and reporting attributed to Cointelegraph (plain text reference). No external links are included in this report.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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