- Bittensor’s halving cuts daily TAO emissions by 50%, reducing market sell pressure.
- Analysts suggest a breakout above $366 could push TAO toward $440 or higher.
- Failure to hold $300 support risks declines to $280 or even $250.
A pivotal moment is approaching for Bittensor — TAO . The network’s first halving is less than 83 days away, expected around December 11. This milestone will cut daily TAO emissions in half, reducing sell pressure and tightening supply. Investors are already watching closely, with parallels being drawn to Bitcoin’s historic halvings. Just as Bitcoin halvings sparked rallies, Bittensor now stands at a crossroads where scarcity could ignite demand and set the stage for growth.
Halving Mechanics and Market Impact
Daily TAO emissions will fall from 7,200 to 3,600 after the event. That’s a dramatic 50% cut. Alpha emissions will also shift from 14,400 to 10,800, keeping the balance between TAO and Alpha_in steady. This balance ensures subnets remain functional while reducing overall dilution. The halving doesn’t bring immediate shocks, but the long-term effect could still fuel momentum.
Timo Moors, an AI researcher , explained that fewer tokens hitting the market each day means less selling pressure. If demand stays steady, upward pressure could build gradually. Like a tide lifting boats, the market often responds to scarcity with rising prices. The event transforms TAO’s tokenomics, pulling it closer to Bitcoin’s proven model of programmed scarcity.
TAO Price Outlook: Can Momentum Build?
TAO trades near $337 , moving within a tightening triangle pattern. Analysts are watching the 20-day EMA as a key signal. Michael van de Poppe suggested that a break above this line could unlock momentum. If TAO clears resistance around $366, price targets stretch toward $440 and possibly higher. The halving narrative amplifies these technical signals. Market participants often rally around scarcity events, creating self-reinforcing demand.
Speculation points to a possible surge toward $1,000 during 2025 if bullish energy sustains. Each halving cycle in Bitcoin reshaped market psychology, and Bittensor may experience something similar. But the downside remains. If TAO fails to hold $300, a retest of $280 becomes likely. Extended weakness could even drag prices closer to $250. Such moves would dent investor confidence ahead of the halving.
The stakes feel high, with every chart movement pulling attention from traders worldwide. The countdown is more than numbers ticking down on a calendar. It symbolizes the shift from abundance to scarcity, from emission to endurance. TAO holders see a potential catalyst that could define the next chapter in Bittensor’s journey.
Bittensor’s first halving represents a defining test for the network. The event slashes supply, balances emissions, and echoes Bitcoin’s historic cycles. Price action now dances between support and resistance, with a breakout holding the key to further gains. Whether TAO surges or stumbles, the countdown fuels anticipation.
