Bitcoin’s 2021 Playbook Shows The Final Price Target For This Bull Cycle
While the Bitcoin price seems to have deviated completely from the four-year cycle that dictated the previous bull and bear markets, there are still some similarities that remain that suggest that it could still play out in a similar way. The major similarity that has emerged is the formation of a bearish crab pattern back in 2021, and now, the same pattern has reappeared. Thus, taking a look at the direction of the 2021 formation could give an insight into where the Bitcoin price is headed next from here.
The Pattern That Triggered The Bitcoin Price Explosion
In an analysis, crypto analyst Weslad was the one who pointed out that the Bearish Crab Pattern had returned, and this was formed on the daily chart as well. Interestingly, the current formation looks eerily similar to the way it formed back in 2021, suggesting that the resulting trend could play out the same.
Back in 2021, when the Bearish Crab Pattern came up, the result was a price explosion that sent the Bitcoin price toward its $69,000 all-time high. This “Blow-off top” rally is usually the last rally in a bull market, and its end often signals the start of the next bear market.
With this pattern, though, there are a number of targets to watch out for that could show where the price is headed next. The first of these is that the Bitcoin price would need to complete a daily close above the $124,545 level, and this is known as the Activation Trigger.
Next in line is what Weslad refers to as the “Buy The Dip Zone”. This would be the ideal price range to enter Bitcoin in the case of a retrace, and this lies between $118,000 and $120,000. A dip toward these levels is nothing to worry about, as it means that the bulls are still in control.
Both of the zones outlined above, if held, would see the Bitcoin price continue its bullish rally. If the final, explosive leg does play out as it did back in 2017-2021, then the Crab pattern suggests that the Bitcoin price will at least go to $136,000, with an extended target of $147,000, and the possibility that it goes further toward $160,000.
However, the final target is the bearish one that could send the Bitcoin price crashing back downward, and it lies at $107,000. According to the crypto analyst, a break below this level would invalidate the entire bullish thesis, calling it the “line in the sand.” Weslad explains that “The invalidation level at $107K is crucial. A break below there means the setup is broken, and we must re-assess.”
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's Major Holders Selling Challenges ETF Support at $90k
- Bitcoin whale inflows hit 9,000 BTC on Nov 21, 2025, with 45% of deposits from large holders, signaling intensified selling pressure amid a seven-month price drop to $80,600. - Exchange inflows surged to $40B weekly, with Binance’s stablecoin reserves reaching $51B, reflecting capital shifts toward dollar-pegged assets amid market uncertainty. - ETF inflows (e.g., BlackRock’s IBIT) provided limited counterbalance, totaling $21M on Nov 27, contrasting with earlier $903M outflows and whale-driven altcoin d

Solana News Today: Crypto at a Turning Point—Speculation Mania or Institutional Domination?
- Arthur Hayes, ex-BitMEX CEO, boosted DeFi exposure with 2.01M ENA and 33K ETHFI tokens amid crypto volatility. - Solana (SOL) struggles to break $150, forming a bear flag pattern that could trigger a 30% drop to $99 if $140 support fails. - Nasdaq's IBIT options proposal and Grayscale's Zcash ETF filing signal growing institutional crypto adoption amid fragmented market dynamics. - Astra Bitcoin's hybrid model blends TradFi/DeFi assets to address volatility concerns, yet speculative momentum remains evid

Bitcoin Updates: With Retail Investors Declining, Large Holders and ETFs Influence Bitcoin's Direction
- Bitcoin's $91,000 rebound highlights institutional dominance over retail traders, driven by ETF inflows and whale accumulation. - Bhutan's $970,000 ETH staking and RGB20 protocol advancements signal institutional validation of Bitcoin's programmable finance potential. - Solana's $8.2M ETF outflow and $36M hack contrast Bitcoin's stability, as large holders buffer against volatility. - ETF-driven price dynamics and privacy-focused products like Zcash ETFs reflect shifting market structure toward instituti

Zcash Latest Updates: Zcash ETF Anticipation Faces Bearish Trends—Will This Privacy Coin Overcome the Downturn?
- Zcash (ZEC) nears critical $442.53 support as technical indicators signal bearish momentum with 12/12 "Strong Sell" signals. - Grayscale's proposed ZCSH ETF aims to institutionalize privacy-focused crypto access, holding 394,400 ZEC valued at $199M. - Market remains muted despite ETF filing, with ZEC down 1.4% amid regulatory uncertainty and broader crypto volatility. - ETF approval could boost ZEC liquidity like Bitcoin ETFs, but traders watch $442.53 support and SEC review outcomes.
