- XRP mirrors its 2017 market cycle after touching the 20-month moving average showing a similar trend setup now.
- The current price action forms a structure that could prepare the token for a strong upside breakout soon again.
- Investors watch closely as the 20-month level becomes the defining point for XRP’s possible 2025 rally continuation.
XRP is showing a strikingly similar trend to its 2017 price action. In 2017, the token consolidated sideways for several months before touching the 20-month moving average (MA). Once that key technical level was hit, XRP surged sharply to complete its cycle.
According to the TradingView chart shared on October 18, 2025, by crypto analyst @matthughes13, XRP appears to be repeating the same pattern. The token recently touched the 20-month MA after an extended consolidation phase. Analysts note that this could mark the beginning of a new bullish leg, echoing the historic rally seen eight years ago.
The analyst’s post noted that everything in this market cycle seems to be taking longer than before. Despite the delay, the structure remains consistent with XRP’s previous major breakout formation. This repetition in long-term price behavior has drawn considerable attention from investors and traders alike.
One critical question arises: Could XRP be on the verge of another historic breakout similar to 2017?
Historical Parallels Strengthen Long-Term Bullish Outlook
In 2017, XRP traded sideways for months before its trend reversed near the same moving average level. That year’s pattern led to a remarkable surge, marking one of the largest gains in crypto history. Analysts point out that the setup forming in 2025 mirrors that exact trajectory, reinforcing bullish speculation.
On the current monthly chart, XRP trades around $0.28 after touching the 20-month MA at approximately $0.23. The Bollinger Bands displayed in the chart show a narrowing volatility range, often preceding significant directional movement. Traders view this tightening as a potential prelude to a breakout phase, similar to previous XRP cycles.
The long consolidation observed since 2021 also aligns with a broader crypto market slowdown. However, as the pattern tightens, market participants suggest that XRP might be preparing for a decisive shift. If the token follows its earlier cycle, a steep upward trajectory could emerge once momentum resumes.
Technical Levels and Market Sentiment Point Toward Anticipation
The 20-month MA has historically acted as a pivotal level for XRP. In 2017, the token’s rally began shortly after it broke above this metric. The recent test of this level in 2025 has reignited bullish discussions, especially among long-term holders who anticipate similar results.
XRP’s price structure remains confined between $0.23 and $0.37, the Bollinger Band upper and lower limits indicated on the chart. Analysts interpret this range as a zone of accumulation. If price action mirrors past behavior, a breakout beyond $0.37 could initiate a powerful rally phase.
The accompanying tweet from @matthughes13 also emphasized that the cycle appears to be progressing more slowly this time. Factors such as market maturity, regulatory evolution, and broader liquidity distribution might be contributing to the extended consolidation. Yet, the fundamental resemblance between the two cycles persists.
Observers argue that such extended timelines do not invalidate the setup but instead highlight the growing complexity of market dynamics. As more institutional players engage with digital assets, price cycles could naturally lengthen due to increased capitalization and stability.
Broader Context: Patience Amid an Extended Cycle
The post gained significant traction within the crypto community, accumulating tens of thousands of views and hundreds of interactions. Traders expressed both impatience and optimism as they revisited XRP’s past performance. Comments reflected the mixed emotions of a market waiting for confirmation of a long-anticipated move.
The analyst described the scenario as “taking a little longer this cycle because everything is taking longer this cycle.” This statement captured the broader sentiment among XRP supporters who see delayed gratification as part of the asset’s recurring rhythm.
While the pace may differ, the structure remains clear: XRP has once again touched a critical moving average following months of consolidation. If history is any guide, the stage may be set for a repeat of one of crypto’s most memorable uptrends.
