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The probability of "US government reopening being delayed until after the 16th" rises to 53.5% on Polymarket
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Jinse Finance reported that last night, the key vote on the "U.S. government restart"—specifically, the S.3012 motion, namely the "Federal Employee Appropriations Exemption Act"—did not pass. Affected by this news, the probability on Polymarket that "the government restart will be delayed until after the 16th" rose to 53.5%, while the probability that "the government restart will occur between the 8th and 11th" dropped to 12%.
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