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Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin’s Death Cross: Is This the Cycle’s Lowest Point or the Start of a Steeper Decline?

Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin’s Death Cross: Is This the Cycle’s Lowest Point or the Start of a Steeper Decline?

Bitget-RWA2025/11/22 20:42
By:Bitget-RWA

- Bitcoin fell below $94,000 on Nov 16, 2025, after its 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day average—a bearish "death cross"—raising concerns about prolonged downturns. - The drop erased 2025's gains, with Bitcoin down 28% from its $126,000 October peak, triggering $1B in liquidations and a Fear & Greed Index extreme fear level of 10. - Analysts remain divided: historical data shows 15–26% rebounds post-death cross within 2–3 months, but this correction has been more severe, testing 2025's marke

On November 16, 2025, Bitcoin's value tumbled below $94,000 after its 50-day moving average slipped beneath the 200-day average—a bearish technical indicator known as a "death cross"—fueling renewed fears of an extended slump. This event, confirmed by several data sources, stands out as a major technical event in the cryptocurrency's latest cycle. The decline

, with now trading nearly 28% lower than its October high of $126,000.

Although the death cross is typically linked to bearish momentum, its impact on Bitcoin has varied over past cycles. While short-term volatility often follows,

that Bitcoin has averaged a 15–26% recovery within two to three months after such a crossover, according to on-chain researchers. This time, however, the market's reaction has been notably harsher. Bitcoin's price dropped to $89,426—a level last seen in April—resulting in more than $1 billion in liquidations and sending the Fear & Greed Index plunging to an extreme fear reading of 10 .

Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin’s Death Cross: Is This the Cycle’s Lowest Point or the Start of a Steeper Decline? image 0
Experts remain split on whether the death cross signals a market bottom or a deeper correction ahead. Some point out that in Bitcoin's history, death crosses have more often marked local lows rather than peaks. For instance, in 2019, the price fell 10% during a government reopening, only to recover in the following months . "While short-term outcomes are unpredictable, the medium-term tends to favor bulls," one analyst noted, referencing Mario Nawfal's findings, which within one to three weeks after the crossover.

The broader economic environment adds further complexity. The Federal Reserve's indecision regarding rate cuts—balancing inflation concerns with a slowing job market—has heightened Bitcoin's price swings.

on social media that this could be "the last chance to buy Bitcoin under $90k," highlighting the prevailing bearish mood. At the same time, institutional investors and hedge funds have reduced their holdings in Mastercard and other conventional assets, signaling increased caution across markets [^5–9].

According to Glassnode, the death cross might serve as a "bullish indicator" if Bitcoin can hold above the 50-week simple moving average, which is currently at $110,459

. One analysis suggests that a rebound within a week . Still, the outlook remains uncertain as macroeconomic challenges and regulatory developments continue to pressure risk assets.

As traders assess the implications of the death cross, they are watching for potential catalysts—such as a Federal Reserve rate cut, a surge in spot ETF inflows, or a shift in macroeconomic sentiment—that could revive bullish momentum. For now, Bitcoin's 41-day correction is testing historical trends, leaving investors to question whether this is a prime buying moment or a warning of further declines.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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