Today’s Outlook
1、The first U.S. DOGE spot ETF listed with no net inflow on opening day; Grayscale XRP ETF and Franklin XRP ETF launched, bringing total daily net inflow of the four XRP spot ETFs to $164 million.
2、Multicoin Capital purchased $10.94 million worth of AAVE today.
3、Publicly listed companies worldwide net bought $13.4 million in BTC last week, while Strategy made no new Bitcoin purchases.
Macro & Hot Topics
1、Fed’s Daly expressed support for a December rate cut, pushing the probability of a December cut to 81%.
2、Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas: Short interest on BlackRock’s Bitcoin spot ETF $IBIT has dropped sharply, now near levels seen before the April rally.
3、JIN10: U.S. September PCE moved to December 5, and the Q3 GDP advance report has been canceled.
Market Performance
1、BTC rebounded above $89,000, ETH climbed above $2,900; total 24h crypto liquidations reached $356M, with $237M from short positions.
2、U.S. stocks: Dow +0.44%, S&P 500 +1.55%, Nasdaq +2.69%.
3、Bitget BTC/USDT Liquidation Map: BTC currently around $87,708.
Downside: $85,400–86,500 is a dense high-leverage long zone — a drop into this range may trigger cascading long liquidations.
Upside: $89,000–90,500 gathers concentrated short leverage — a move up could trigger short squeezes and push price higher.
4、Past 24h BTC spot flows: $244M inflow, $272M outflow, net outflow $28M.
News Updates
1、U.S. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE): Reuters’ report claiming the department had been dissolved is fake news.
2、Japan’s FSA plans new rules requiring crypto exchanges to set up liability reserves.
3、Crypto advocacy group Stand With Crypto launches its questionnaire for 2026 midterm election candidates.
4、A San Francisco crypto holder was robbed by a fake deliveryman, losing $11 million in crypto assets.
Project Updates
1、About 7 hours ago, a whale spent 1.35 million USDC to buy 37 million MON tokens.
2、Circle newly minted 500 million USDC on Solana early this morning.
3、Meme coin SPSC, inspired by the WLFI founder, surged 130% after receiving WLFI’s official endorsement.
4、TD Cowen: Strategy’s Bitcoin premium is approaching “crypto winter” lows but maintains a Buy rating.
5、BlackRock transferred 900 BTC (worth ~$77.59M) to Coinbase yesterday.
6、BitcoinTreasuries.NET: New Jersey Pension Fund increased its Strategy holdings to $16 million.
7、Arthur Hayes: Fed liquidity has slightly improved; Bitcoin may hold the $80,000 level.
8、CoinShares: Digital asset investment products saw $1.94 billion net outflows last week.
9、Irys: IRYS token airdrop claim opens today at 20:00 (UTC+8).
Disclaimer: This report is AI-generated. Human reviewers only verify information. This does not constitute investment advice.