URGENT: Bitcoin could fall today due to two decisive events this Friday.

Friday, January 9, 2026 — Bitcoin and global markets are on this Friday amid a high-risk environment with two events concentrated in a few hours which can cause significant fluctuations in the prices of stocks, currencies and cryptocurrencies.

The warning came from analyst Crypto Rover., which highlighted in publications on X the risk of strong volatility in the coming hours. The assessment was later further analyzed in video by Dan Gambardello, which interpreted the macro scenario and the potential impacts of the warning about Bitcoin and Ethereum, reinforcing the market's sensitivity to economic and legal news.

BIG WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS COULD BE EXTREMELY VOLATILE FOR MARKETS 🚨

Two major US events are hitting almost back-to-back, and both can quickly change how markets price growth, recession risk, and rate cuts.

First: The US Supreme Court tariff ruling.

At 10:00 am ET, the…

— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) January 8, 2026

In the video posted by Gambardello, the analyst draws attention to the combination of a United States Supreme Court ruling and the dissemination of short-term economic datahighlighting that this type of alignment usually generates rapid and often exaggerated movements. In a professional translation of the tone he adopted, the central message is that "volatility should intensify in the next 24 hours," with the market reacting to headlines even before digesting their real effects.

First trigger: Supreme Court of the United States

The first trigger is the decision of Supreme Court of the United States Regarding the legality of tariffs imposed during the Donald Trump administration. According to the interpretation presented by Crypto Rover, The market is pricing in approximately a 77% chance that the tariffs will be deemed illegal.He explains that, should this happen, The U.S. government may be forced to return a significant portion of the more than $600 billion already collected., which introduces immediate fiscal uncertainty.

Crypto Rover further notes that, even with other legal instruments available to the Executive, these alternatives would be... slower, less effective, and less predictable.

In a direct translation of his warning, he states that "The greatest risk is the feeling"This is because markets have begun to treat tariffs as a positive factor. A contrary decision could therefore trigger a negative repricing—a movement that also tends to affect the cryptocurrency market.

The second event of the day: US unemployment data.

the disclosure of US unemployment data, Preview for Friday morning. According to Crypto Rover, the expectation is for a rate of 4,5%, slightly below the previous figure.

He explains that A higher-than-expected number reinforces the recession narrative.while a stronger result It reduces these fears, but further weakens bets on interest rate cuts..

A Bloomberg survey of economists estimates an average gain of 70.000 jobs in the final 2025 jobs report and an unemployment rate of 4,5%, after November data showed an increase of 64.000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4,6%. The Chicago Fed, in turn, predicts that the unemployment rate will remain stable.

Currently, according to him, The chance of an interest rate cut is already low, around 11%.However, robust data can virtually eliminate this possibility in the short term.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) price analysis by Dan Gambardello

Gambardello complements this interpretation by integrating the macroeconomic scenario with technical analysis. No BitcoinHe points out that the BTC It may fall to the relevant support ranges between US$86 and US$83, warning of the possibility of a rapid movement to lower regions should sentiment change abruptly.

No Ethereum, the focus is on the relationship between the 20-week and 50-week moving averagesIn addition to the historical behavior around the 200-week moving average, which in previous cycles has been associated with periods of consolidation, and not necessarily with prolonged bear markets.

Keep an eye out for two possible price movements in the short term: a continuous sideways fluctuation or a deeper test towards the 200-week moving average. close to the US$2.500 rangeThe crossover occurred both at the beginning and end of previous monetary tightening cycles, therefore its occurrence alone does not automatically signal a prolonged bear market.

The convergence between Crypto Rover's macro warning and Gambardello's technical analysis reinforces the assessment that This Friday brings a concentration of asymmetric risks..

Weak data could intensify fears of recession; strong data could consolidate an environment of higher interest rates for longer. In both cases, the consensus is that the day calls for heightened caution given the likelihood of sharp movements in traditional markets and the cryptocurrency sector.