US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests 50-day EMA support after breaking below 99.00

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground after four days of gains and trading around 98.80 during the European hours on Monday. The momentum indicator shows the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 (neutral) reflects improving momentum.

The US Dollar Index stands marginally above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-day EMA. The short-term average has turned higher while the 50-day EMA has flattened after a prior decline.

Holding above the rising nine-day EMA would keep the near-term bias supportive and lead the DXY to target the seven-month high of 99.57, recorded on December 2. Further resistance lies at the seven-month high of 100.26, which was recorded on August 1.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA of 98.70, aligned with the nine-day EMA at 98.66. Further declines would weaken the short- and medium-term price momentum and put downward pressure on the US Dollar Index to navigate the region around the 97.75, the lowest since October 25.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)