Bitget UEX Daily | White House Imposes 25% Chip Tariff; Trump Signs Rare Earth Security Order; Rare Earth Stocks Surge Against Trend;TSMC to Release Earnings (Jan 15, 2026)

I. Hot News

Fed Updates

Beige Book Shows Moderate Economic Expansion The latest Fed Beige Book indicates moderate growth in U.S. economic activity across most regions, with stable employment but persistent inflationary pressures.

• Growth reported in 8 out of 12 districts, while employment remains largely unchanged.
• Prices rose at a moderate pace, with the overall report slightly better than the previous one. This assessment supports the Fed's stance on holding rates while monitoring data, potentially tempering market expectations for rapid rate cuts and boosting demand for safe-haven assets.

International Commodities

Trump Signs Executive Order on Critical Minerals U.S. President Trump has signed an executive order to secure the national supply chain for rare earths and other critical minerals, accelerating domestic production and approvals.

• The order builds on prior policies, prioritizing development of copper, uranium, gold, and other minerals to address foreign dependency.
• It declares a national energy emergency, mobilizing funds to promote mining and processing. This move enhances confidence in the rare earth market, leading to gains in related stocks, potentially accelerating global supply chain restructuring and driving up commodity prices.

Macroeconomic Policies

25% Tariff on Imported Chips Trump has announced a 25% tariff on imported chips not used for U.S. AI applications, targeting products transited and then exported.

• The measure is expected to generate billions in revenue, with no mention of investment exemptions.
• The Supreme Court has not ruled on the legality of Trump's tariffs, with the case postponed. Policy uncertainty is heightening risk aversion, pushing U.S. Treasury yields to yearly lows and possibly amplifying geopolitical risks' negative impact on equities.

II. Market Review

• Gold: Down approximately 0.5% to $4,604/oz, approaching record highs, driven by safe-haven demand and geopolitical tensions.
• Silver: Down approximately 4.8% to $88.20/oz, pulling back after touching a historical high of $93, with supply shortages overlaid by strong speculative momentum.
• Crude Oil: WTI down approximately 1.7% to $60.99/bbl, retracing gains after geopolitical risks eased, but overall supply-demand balance remains vulnerable to disruptions from Iran events.
• DXY: Index up slightly by 0.08% to 99.14, influenced by precious metals pullback and Fed data, with market attention on potential volatility from inflation reports.

U.S. Stock Indices Performance

• Dow Jones: Down 0.09% to 49,149.63 points, pulling back for two consecutive days but with relative strength in small-cap stocks.
• S&P 500: Down 0.53% to 6,926.60 points, marking its worst performance in a month, dragged by tech sector weakness.
• Nasdaq: Down 1% to 23,471.75 points, amid sector rotation toward defensive assets.

Tech Giants Updates

• Microsoft: Down over 2%, impacted by overall tech sector softness.
• Amazon: Down over 2%, facing macroeconomic uncertainties in e-commerce and cloud businesses.
• Meta: Down over 2%, amid growing concerns over slowing ad revenue growth.
• NVIDIA: Down over 1%, with chip tariff policies adding supply chain pressures.
• Tesla: Down over 1%, as EV demand fluctuates with energy price movements.
• Alphabet: Minor adjustment, boosted by Gemini AI assistant launch but unable to offset broader market pressure.
• Apple: Stable performance, with markets watching potential tariff impacts on hardware imports. Overall declines primarily due to tech valuation corrections and underwhelming bank earnings, with capital shifting to defensive sectors.

Sector Movements Observation

Rare Earth Concept Up over 10%

• Representative Stocks: CRML up over 32%, USAR up over 9%, MP up over 8%.
• Driving Factors: Trump's executive order secures supply chains, stimulating expectations for domestic production.

Energy Sector Up over 2%

• Representative Stocks: Occidental Petroleum, ExxonMobil, Chevron up over 2%.
• Driving Factors: Initial geopolitical risks lift oil prices, though later moderated by Trump's comments, still supporting the sector overall.

Banking Sector Down over 3%

• Representative Stocks: Wells Fargo down 4.6%, Bank of America and Citigroup lower.
• Driving Factors: Quarterly profits and revenues below expectations, compounded by proposals for credit card interest rate caps.

III. In-Depth Stock Analysis

1. Bilibili - Strong Advertising Revenue Growth

Event Overview: Bilibili's stock rose over 6%, hitting a new high since April 2022. At the 2026 AD TALK marketing conference, the company revealed that over 220 million users engaged with consumer content last year, driving advertising revenue to grow over 20% for 11 consecutive quarters, far outpacing the broader market. Million-level client retention neared 90%, with UP creators' average income up 22%. Market Interpretation: Institutions view Bilibili's consumer ecosystem as robust, with sustainable ad business expansion; firms like Morgan Stanley are optimistic about its penetration among young users. Investment Insights: The platform's growth momentum is strong, potentially benefiting from a digital marketing rebound; monitor quarterly earnings for validation.

2. Broadcom - Issues $4.5 Billion in Notes for Debt Restructuring

Event Overview: Broadcom's stock fell over 4%, as the company announced an underwriting agreement to issue $4.5 billion in senior notes for corporate purposes and debt repayment. This aims to optimize its financial structure and support expansions in AI chips and other areas. Market Interpretation: Analysts from Goldman Sachs see this as strategic financing to ease high debt burdens, though short-term dilution concerns persist. Investment Insights: Effective debt management favors long-term stability, but watch for rising supply chain costs amid chip tariff environments.

3. Meta - Completes Layoffs in Reality Labs Division

Event Overview: Meta's stock dropped over 2%, with reports of about 10% staff cuts in the Reality Labs division, affecting around 1,500 employees. This unit handles VR/AR businesses, and the restructuring seeks to streamline costs and boost efficiency. Market Interpretation: Barclays analysts note the layoffs reflect optimized metaverse investments, with institutions generally positive on its core ad business resilience. Investment Insights: Cost controls could improve profitability prospects, but track progress in AI and social integration.

4. Chevron - Expected Venezuela License Expansion

Event Overview: Chevron's stock rose over 2%, with industry sources indicating the company anticipates U.S. approval this week to expand its Venezuela license, supporting production growth. Market Interpretation: Institutions like Citigroup believe this will strengthen global supply positioning and mitigate geopolitical risks. Investment Insights: Under stable energy demand, the license boosts cash flows, making it suitable for defensive allocations.

5. Rivian - Downgraded to Sell by UBS

Event Overview: Rivian's stock fell over 7%, as UBS downgraded its rating from "neutral" to "sell" with a $15 target price. Analysts cited overvaluation in recent gains, projecting only 10,600 R2 deliveries in 2026, below consensus. Market Interpretation: Concerns arise over unmet AI and R2 expectations amid intensifying EV competition. Investment Insights: Short-term volatility is high; wait for delivery data confirmation before entry.

IV. Today's Market Calendar

Data Release Schedule

Key Events Preview

• TSMC Earnings Release: All day - Focus on revenue and AI chip demand guidance, potentially influencing semiconductor sector volatility.
• Fed Officials' Speeches: Unscheduled - Watch for latest comments on inflation and rate paths.

Bitget Research Institute Views:

Driven by central bank purchases and investor demand, we continue to be optimistic about gold's performance in 2026; the precious metals fervor stems from debt-inflation concerns, with U.S. stocks focusing on AI growth but wary of volatility; crude oil retreats short-term but is supported by Iran risks, while forex sees the dollar under pressure from rate-cut expectations. Overall, strong demand for hard assets suggests diversified allocations to cope with uncertainties.

Disclaimer: The above content is compiled through AI searches and verified manually for release only; it does not constitute any investment advice.