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Kalshi is facing lawsuits and regulatory scrutiny in multiple states, being qualitatively classified as gambling. At the same time, its trading volume has surged, and its valuation has skyrocketed to $11 billion, revealing the structural contradiction of the prediction market's rapid growth within the legal grey area in the United States.
The article analyzes the current economic situation, pointing out that AI is the main driver of GDP growth, while other sectors such as the labor market and household finances are in decline. Market dynamics have become detached from fundamentals, with AI capital expenditure being key to avoiding a recession. The widening wealth gap and energy supply are becoming bottlenecks for AI development. In the future, AI and cryptocurrencies may become the focus of policy adjustments. Summary generated by Mars AI This summary was generated by the Mars AI model, and its accuracy and completeness are still in the process of iterative improvement.
Anthropic is accelerating its expansion into the capital markets, initiating collaboration with top law firms, which is seen as an important signal toward going public. The company's valuation is approaching 300 billions USD, and investors are betting it could go public before OpenAI.
Harvard University's endowment fund significantly increased its holdings in bitcoin ETFs to nearly 500 million USD in the previous quarter. However, in the current quarter, the price of bitcoin subsequently dropped by more than 20%, exposing the fund to significant timing risk.
The change of the next Federal Reserve Chair is a decisive factor in reshaping the future macro environment of the cryptocurrency industry.
