Whale USDT Moves Could Be TRX's Secret Weapon for $0.50 Breakout

TRX, the native token of the TRON blockchain, is currently approaching a significant resistance level as network activity and whale-driven USDT flows intensify. At the time of reporting, TRX is trading near $0.3391, just below its historical resistance level of $0.37. Analysts are closely monitoring the token’s price behavior, with some suggesting that a breakout above this level could propel the price toward $0.48–$0.52, especially if momentum sustains and whale activity continues to drive liquidity into the ecosystem. Recent movements in large USDT wallets, particularly those holding over $100 million, have shown a strong correlation with broader market sentiment, including Bitcoin’s recent brief resurgence near $110,000. These mega-wallets account for approximately 35–36% of daily USDT balance changes on the TRON blockchain, indicating a concentration of liquidity that could influence price volatility.

The TRON network’s daily active addresses have surpassed 2.6 million, an all-time high, highlighting robust ecosystem growth and increased demand for the platform. This surge in on-chain activity is viewed as a strong foundation for further price appreciation, provided that the bullish momentum is not disrupted. According to insights from CryptoQuant, on August 12, a $3.9 billion transfer from large USDT wallets coincided with a 5% rally in Bitcoin , reinforcing the interconnected nature of stablecoin flows and market confidence. As these movements gain traction, they suggest that a portion of this liquidity may eventually flow into spot exchanges, potentially amplifying volatility in both TRON and broader crypto markets.

Analysts have identified the $0.37 level as a critical price zone for TRX. A confirmed breakout—verified by a daily or weekly close above this resistance—could lead to a significant price increase toward the $0.48–$0.52 range. However, the risk of a pullback remains, especially if the price fails to stabilize above this level or if on-chain activity begins to wane. A breakdown below $0.37 could push TRX toward the 200-day EMA band, which acts as a dynamic support level. Despite these risks, the broader macroeconomic landscape, including the potential onset of an altseason and whale liquidity supporting risk assets, keeps TRX in focus for traders anticipating a breakout opportunity.

The technical outlook for TRX remains mixed but cautiously optimistic. While the token is currently trading at the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands and above the 50-day SMA, momentum indicators like the MACD histogram signal bearish divergence, suggesting the recent uptrend may be losing steam. The RSI is in neutral territory, and the Stochastic oscillator indicates oversold conditions on shorter timeframes, hinting at potential for a short-term bounce. Analysts project a short-term target range of $0.355–$0.360 within the next week and a broader $0.325–$0.370 range for the next month, with a bias toward the upper end. A decisive move above $0.37 would validate the bullish case and extend the target to $0.385–$0.40.

Given the current setup, entry strategies suggest a measured approach. Aggressive buyers may consider entering at $0.340–$0.345, while conservative investors might wait for a pullback to $0.335–$0.338 or a breakout above $0.355. Position sizing is recommended to reflect the medium confidence level of current forecasts, with a 2–3% allocation seen as reasonable. The evolving whale activity, combined with strong on-chain metrics, provides a compelling case for those looking to position themselves ahead of a potential breakout.

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